Weather for New England and the Northeast

**Area Forecast Discussion, National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA**

**Date and Time:** 120 PM EST Saturday, November 14, 2026

**WHAT HAS CHANGED**

No significant changes to the forecast.

**KEY MESSAGES**

\- Overcast conditions today will give way to mostly sunny and breezy weather on Sunday. Temperatures will remain slightly cooler than normal through the weekend.

\- An extended period of dry and quiet weather is expected next week, with gradually moderating temperatures bringing mild afternoons and cool nights.

**DISCUSSION**

**KEY MESSAGE 1: Overcast conditions today give way to mostly sunny and breezy conditions Sunday. Temperatures remain slightly cooler than normal through the weekend.**

Cloud cover has increased across the region, with mostly cloudy to overcast skies and modest northwest breezes. This is being caused by a fairly strong upper-level disturbance, known as a shortwave, currently circulating near Montreal. A shortwave is a smaller area of disturbed air in the atmosphere that can help produce clouds and occasional showers.

Although conditions are generally dry, some light precipitation has been reported across northern New England. A passing sprinkle or brief light shower cannot be ruled out as this disturbance moves southward through Southern New England late this afternoon and into early tonight.

Cloud cover and northerly breezes will limit daytime warming today, keeping high temperatures mainly in the upper 30s to middle 40s. Clouds and northwest winds will also prevent temperatures from falling too quickly this evening. However, skies should begin clearing after midnight, allowing temperatures to drop into the upper 20s to middle and upper 30s by early Sunday morning.

Sunday should bring considerably more sunshine compared to today. However, temperatures will remain on the cool side. Northwest winds will become somewhat stronger, with gusts reaching 20 to 25 mph. These winds will make it feel colder despite the sunshine. High temperatures are expected to reach the middle to upper 40s, although it could feel closer to the middle 30s across higher elevations, particularly for anyone planning outdoor activities or hiking.

**KEY MESSAGE 2: An extended period of dry and quiet weather is expected next week, with moderating temperatures bringing mild afternoons and cool nights.**

Weather models, including artificial intelligence-based forecasting models, are showing a large area of high pressure and warmer air developing over the central United States this weekend and gradually shifting toward the East Coast next week. This pattern should bring an extended stretch of dry weather to Southern New England.

Monday will start the week on a chilly note, with high temperatures mainly in the upper 40s to lower 50s. However, increasing heights in the upper atmosphere, a sign of building high pressure and a more stable weather pattern, will help temperatures climb as the week progresses.

High pressure setting up from the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic will establish a west-northwest flow across Southern New England, allowing warmer air to move into the region. There is a possibility that forecast temperatures could end up being even warmer than currently expected, particularly Wednesday through Friday, when afternoon highs could reach the middle 60s.

Overall, temperatures should rise from the upper 40s and lower 50s on Monday into the 60s by the middle and latter portions of next week. These readings would be approximately 10 to 15 degrees warmer than normal for the middle of November.

Despite the warmer afternoons, nighttime temperatures will remain seasonably cool. Dew points in the 30s, combined with light winds, will allow temperatures to fall considerably after sunset. This large difference between daytime highs and nighttime lows is known as the diurnal temperature range. Most locations should see overnight lows in the 30s.

The mild daytime temperatures are expected to continue through Friday before a dry cold front moves across the region Friday into Saturday. A cold front is the boundary where cooler air moves into an area, but this particular front is not expected to bring a significant temperature change. Forecast models suggest temperatures will simply return closer to seasonal levels, with afternoon highs mainly in the 50s.

**Overall, mild afternoons and cool nights will be the dominant weather pattern across Southern New England for much of next week.**