Updates twice per day, weekdays, by 7:30AM and again by 7:30PM.
9AM and 7PM on Weekends.
Forecasts are for Southern NH (Nashua) to Keene NH with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)
The Weekend Outlooks are added every Thursday morning. (Forecasts through Sunday)
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gray ME
454 AM EDT Fri Jun 2 2023
MEZ007>009-012>014-018>022-024>028-033-NHZ001>013-015-030900- Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Southern Oxford- Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York- Central Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo- Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox-Coastal Waldo- Interior Cumberland Highlands-Northern Coos-Southern Coos- Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-Southern Grafton-Southern Carroll- Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-Strafford-Cheshire-Eastern Hillsborough- Interior Rockingham-Western And Central Hillsborough-
454 AM EDT Fri Jun 2 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Maine, south central Maine, southwest Maine, west central Maine, western Maine, New Hampshire, central New Hampshire, northern New Hampshire and southern New Hampshire.
Today and tonight.
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon. Some storms maay be strong with gusty winds and locally heavy downpours.
None
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. High near 91. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. High near 88. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers likely. Low around 50. Northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers likely. Low around 49. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Scattered showers, mainly after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Scattered showers, mainly after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light northeast in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Scattered showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Scattered showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. North wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Scattered showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Scattered showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Welcome to June!
The 2023 Hurricane Season begins today and we already have a system on the map.
Main changes noted in the 7PM guidance with respect to the incoming back door front and associated showers and thunderstorms has been for faster movement of storms. This along with with precipitation chances dropping off sooner tonight has lessened the concern for minor overland flooding from heavy rainfall with overall precipitation amounts decreasing.
Before the arrival of showers and storms, very warm air aloft will allow for temperatures to warm quickly this morning. Portions of western Maine and much of NH will climb into the mid 80s, pushing 90F in southern NH by late this morning. Showers and storms look to develop around noon across northeastern zones and then in the mountains shortly after. These showers and storms will then track south- southwestward through the afternoon. Overall shear is lacking over the forecast area. Still, some guidance suggests a few sustained updrafts will be possible leading to strong storms that could produce outflow winds around 45 mph. Thus, a few strong worthy storms are possible and cannot rule out a storm or two reaching severe thresholds, while widespread severe is not anticipated.
The overall heavy rain threat inherent with thunderstorms is still there, while recent trends in faster storm movement has lessened the concern of minor overland flooding. Still, with Precipitable Water Values around 1.5 inches heavy downpours will be possible and have maintained heavy rainfall wording in the forecast. Showers and thunderstorms will have generally pushed south of the area between 8 and 10 pm with lingering showers into the first part of tonight.
Convection wanes late this evening with even elevated instability pushing south of the area by midnight. Lingering showers will be possible across the southern half of the area into tonight while the bulk of the precipitation will end between 10 pm and midnight.
Much cooler air will rush into the area on strengthening NE winds with NE gusts around 25 mph and higher gusts along the coast. Much of the area will see temperatures drop into the 40s for overnight low temperatures.
On Saturday there will be slight chances for showers across southern and coastal areas into the morning, while for the most part Saturday will be mostly dry. A cool day is still expected with highs around 60 with NE winds continuing to gust around 25 mph. Clouds will hold longest near the coast with more sunshine inland.
Long range:
Complex scenario setting up for the second half of the weekend and into next week. Operational models and ensemble solutions remain in relatively good agreement in developing two cutoff, upper level low pressure systems over the Northeast during the long range portion of the forecast. The challenge is in the differing details of the unfolding forecast.
We begin the extended forecast with a chilly end of the weekend as temperatures remain in the 60s for high temperatures in most areas. Scattered showers will continue with slightly higher pops along and near the coastline which will be in closest proximity to the upper level trough and surface features off the New England coastline. All in all, the trend has been for a slightly further eastward track of the system which would allow for additional bouts of sunshine.
There will still be a chance for showers on Monday. However, during this period, a brief period of ridging aloft may occur between weather systems. A second upper level low will develop in southeast Canada before shifting into New England on Tuesday. Our chance for showers will increase again during the day Tuesday and likely pops have been included in the forecast. This upper level low will bring scattered showers and continued below normal temperatures to the region for Wednesday and Thursday.
CLIMATE...
Record high temperatures are possible once again Today.
Here are the records:
Portland, ME today (Fri): 86 (1990)
Augusta, ME today (Fri): 86 (1990
Concord, NH today (Fri): 95 (1934)
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05/31/2023: Boston Radar remains down at this time, so I have switched the feed to Portland Maine radar.
05/29/2023: There will be late updates (perhaps not at all) in the Wednesday night through Thursday morning timeframe, FYI, this week.
05/21/2023 - The Hurricane/Tropical section is now active.
05/15/2023 - I mentioned I was taking some time off from forecasting this week, but my plans have changed and I will be on the clock all week. However, no Thursday email this week.
01/08/2023 - I am working on some changes to the site to help with readability on smaller devices. Stay tuned.
Precipitation amounts have been updated for May - Link
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Contact e-mail: weathermail@richlefko.com
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SYNOPSIS...
One more hot day is expected today before afternoon showers and
thunderstorms develop along a back door cold front. This front
will usher in much cooler temperatures on Saturday with some
locations seeing high temperatures on Saturday 25 to 30 degrees
colder than on Friday. The cooler and showery weather is
expected to continue through the weekend and into next week.
SYNOPSIS...
Near record heat is expected across across the interior today. However, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon into the evening, especially interior. A few of the stronger storms may contain strong wind gusts and heavy rainfall. A strong backdoor cold front moves south across the region tonight, followed by unseasonably cool weather this weekend with gusty NE winds and periods of showers, especially eastern New England. Unsettled weather may linger into early next week, depending on the location of where low pressure sets up. A drying trend with moderating temperatures are possible mid to late next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Highlights...
* 90+ degree heat in the interior
* Showers and t-storms develop this afternoon, especially interior.
Locally heavy rainfall and strong wind gusts may accompany the
strongest storms
Summer time heat for one more afternoon as a cold front approaches. Showers and storms along that front bring in much cooler air for the weekend.
The summer sizzle continues today. Highs again will be well into the 80s to some lower 90s by early afternoon. Showers, downpours, and thunderstorms will be likely this afternoon and evening which will start to bring in much cooler air.
Temps will drop into the 40s to lower 50s as any lingering showers fade overnight.
Saturday morning definitely looks cloudy with a few lingering showers possible (this part of the forecast has continued to be consistent!) but then the rain could move out giving way to some sun with highs in the 60s.
Sunday looks brighter with some sun breaking through the clouds. If we stay dry then too, highs will also be in the 60s.
This chart is updated every morning.
The current average temperature spread for this time of year:
High: 71 Degrees
Low: 48 Degrees
Record High: 1895 - 90 Degrees
Record Low: 1966 - 33 Degrees
Lake Winnipesauki water temp today: 58 degrees
Tip: Hover over a bar with your cursor to see the actual number.
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