Bailey and Potter, CPA

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Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an email every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or emails from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your email address to: Mail List

 

How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank yous" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Hurricanes 2018

2018 Season Tracking Page


Last updated: Saturday, September 29, 2018 6:13 PM

Tropical Storm Kirk

Not all data/maps are included below - It depends on storm location, strength, etc...

...NEW TROPICAL STORM FORMS WELL SOUTH OF THE CABO VERDE
ISLANDS...
...EXPECTED TO MOVE QUICKLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE DEEP TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...

...KIRK MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...

...KIRK MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

...KIRK ACCELERATING WESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

...KIRK MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...

...KIRK MOVING FAST TOWARD THE WEST OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

...KIRK WEAKER AND ACCELERATING WESTWARD...

...KIRK MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD...

...KIRK NO LONGER HAS A CLOSED CIRCULATION...
...ADVISORIES ARE BEING DISCONTINUED...

...KIRK REGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE WESTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES...

...KIRK HEADED FOR THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS...

...KIRK A LITTLE STRONGER...

...KIRK STRENGTHENS SOME MORE BUT LITTLE ADDITIONAL CHANGE IN
STRENGTH EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY...

...KIRK EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE LESSER ANTILLES TOMORROW
AFTERNOON...

...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING KIRK...
...FINDS THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS RISEN...

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS KIRK A LITTLE WEAKER...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS ON THURSDAY...

...KIRK APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THOSE ISLANDS
LATER TODAY...

...KIRK NEARING THE LESSER ANTILLES...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY...

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES LATER TODAY...

...KIRK NEARING THE LESSER ANTILLES...

...KIRK ABOUT TO MOVE THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES...

...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER
PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT...

...CENTER OF KIRK APPROACHING ST. LUCIA...
...HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING TO SPREAD ACROSS
BARBADOS...

...CENTER OF KIRK CROSSES ST. LUCIA AND MOVES INTO THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG WINDS TO CONTINUE SPREADING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES OVERNIGHT...

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES..

...KIRK MOVED INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BUT ASSOCIATED
WEATHER IS STILL SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...

...KIRK WEAKENING OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...ASSOCIATED WEATHER STILL AFFECTING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...

...KIRK CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

...KIRK BECOMES AN OPEN WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

None

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Kirk Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122018
1100 PM AST Fri Sep 28 2018

...KIRK BECOMES AN OPEN WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.1N 65.8W
ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM SSW OF ST. CROIX
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM S OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the remnants of Kirk were located near
latitude 15.1 North, longitude 65.8 West. The remnants are moving
toward the west-northwest at 14 mph (22 km/h), and the wave is
expected to continue moving westward across the Caribbean Sea
during the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
to the east of the wave axis.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The remnants of Kirk are expected to produce 2 to 4
inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 6 inches across St.
Croix and eastern Puerto Rico overnight through Saturday.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service

Gone in Five Days

 

 

 



 

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