Bailey and Potter, CPA

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Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an email every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or emails from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your email address to: Mail List

 

How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank yous" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Hurricanes 2018

2018 Season Tracking Page


Last updated: Saturday, September 15, 2018 7:51 PM

Tropical RainStorm Isaac

Not all data/maps are included below - It depends on storm location, strength, etc...

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORMS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
...NO IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LAND...

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OVER
THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM ISAAC...

...ISAAC STRENGTHENING OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...


...ISAAC EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

...ISAAC STRENGTHENING OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

...ISAAC ALMOST A HURRICANE...
...MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE WEST OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

...ISAAC BECOMES THE FIFTH HURRICANE OF THE 2018 ATLANTIC SEASON...

...ISAAC HOLDING STEADY IN STRENGTH OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

...ISAAC SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH AT THIS TIME...

...ISAAC CONTINUES TO SHOW LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

...ISAAC A LITTLE WEAKER...
...STILL EXPECTED TO BE AT OR NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT
APPROACHES THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER THIS WEEK...

...ISAAC REMAINS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...


...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR ISAAC...

...WARNINGS LIKELY TO BE ISSUED TONIGHT FOR ISAAC...


...ISAAC LOSING SOME ORGANIZATION AS IT MOVES QUICKLY WESTWARD...

...ISAAC A LITTLE WEAKER...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR MARTINIQUE...DOMINICA...AND
GUADELOUPE...

...ISAAC MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH NO
CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER APPROACHING ISAAC...

...ISAAC SHOULD REACH THE LESSER ANTILLES EARLY THURSDAY...

...ISAAC EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES...

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS ISAAC A LITTLE WEAKER...
...HEAVY RAINS AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS
OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON THURSDAY...

...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS NEARING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
...GUSTY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY...

...ISAAC NOW MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

...ISAAC BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

...ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR ISAAC HAVE ENDED...
...HEAVY RAIN THREAT REMAINS...

...ISAAC MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...BANDS OF RAIN LINGERING OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES...

...ISAAC WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...BANDS OF RAIN LINGERING OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES...

.BANDS OF RAIN FROM ISAAC CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LESSER
ANTILLES...

...ISAAC BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN BUT ITS FUTURE IS UNCLEAR...

None

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Isaac Advisory Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092018
500 PM AST Thu Sep 13 2018

...ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR ISAAC HAVE ENDED...
...HEAVY RAIN THREAT REMAINS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.9N 63.2W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSE OF ST. CROIX
ABOUT 510 MI...815 KM ESE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All watches and warnings have been discontinued for Isaac.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

None.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Isaac was
located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 63.2 West. Isaac is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general
motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected for the next
few days. Isaac should move farther away from Lesser Antilles
today, and then move across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea
through the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Isaac is forecast to gradually weaken over the next
few days, and could degenerate into a tropical wave during that
time.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Isaac is expected to produce total
rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts up to
8 to 10 inches over Dominica. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches
with isolated amounts up to 6 inches over elevated terrain are
forecast across Martinique and Guadeloupe. Rainfall totals of 2 to
4 inches are forecast across southeastern Puerto Rico, while totals
of 1 to 2 inches with maximum amounts of 3 inches are possible
across the remainder of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
This rainfall may cause dangerous flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Isaac are affecting portions of the
Lesser Antilles. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

 

 

 



 

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