Bailey and Potter, CPA

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Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an email every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or emails from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your email address to: Mail List

 

How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank yous" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Hurricanes 2018

2018 Season Tracking Page


Last updated: Sunday, September 16, 2018 5:39 PM

Tropical Rain Storm Helene

Not all data/maps are included below - It depends on storm location, strength, etc...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN CABO VERDE
ISLANDS...
...HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO EXPECTED...

...DISTURBANCE DEVELOPS INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED IN
PORTIONS OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS...

...TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORMS BETWEEN THE COAST OF AFRICA AND THE
CABO VERDE ISLANDS...
...EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE
CABO VERDE ISLANDS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

...HELENE FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE CABO
VERDE ISLANDS TONIGHT...

...HELENE CONTINUING WESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHERN CABO VERDE
ISLANDS...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE CABO
VERDE ISLANDS TONIGHT..

...HELENE STRENGTHENING...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE CABO
VERDE ISLANDS TONIGHT...

...HELENE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS FOR
PORTIONS OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS SUNDAY...

...OUTER BANDS OF HELENE MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO
VERDE ISLANDS...

...HELENE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SOON...

...HELENE BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF THE CABO
VERDE ISLANDS...

...HELENE BECOMES A HURRICANE SOUTHWEST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS...

...HELENE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...

...HELENE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO RESUME STRENGTHENING TODAY...

...HELENE STRENGTHENING QUICKLY OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

...HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC IN A DAY OR TWO...

...HELENE EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC...

...HELENE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...

...HELENE TURNING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE COOLER WATERS OF THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC...

...HELENE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE COOLER WATERS OF THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC...

...HELENE GRADUALLY WEAKENING...

...HELENE FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
...INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HELENE...

..HELENE HEADING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
...INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HELENE...

...HELENE WEAKENS SOME MORE...
...INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HELENE...

...HELENE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM WHILE MOVING NORTHWARD OVER
THE NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC...
...INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HELENE...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE AZORES ISLANDS FOR
HELENE...

...HELENE FORECAST TO PASS NEAR THE AZORES ON SATURDAY...

...HELENE SPEEDING NORTHWARD...
...EXPECTED TO BRING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE AZORES THIS
WEEKEND...

...HELENE MAINTAINING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...
...EXPECTED TO BRING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE AZORES THIS
WEEKEND...

...HELENE EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE AZORES SATURDAY...
...EXPECTED TO BRING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO THE AZORES THIS
WEEKEND...


...HELENE EXPECTED TO BRING GUSTY WINDS AND RAINS TO THE AZORES THIS
WEEKEND......HELENE APPROACHING THE AZORES...
...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINS...

...HELENE TURNING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE AZORES...
...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS...

...HELENE NEARING THE WESTERN AZORES...
...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS...

...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE AZORES ISLANDS HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED...

...HELENE QUICKLY TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW...

...HELENE NOW A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

None

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Helene Advisory Number 37
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082018
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 16 2018

...HELENE NOW A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...43.8N 25.7W
ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM N OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

None.

Interests in Ireland and the United Kingdom should consult products
from their local meteorological service for information about
potential impacts from Post-Tropical Helene in those locations.
Local forecasts and warnings for the UK can be found on the website
of the UK Met Office at https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/. Local
forecasts and warnings for Ireland can be found on the website of
Met Eireann at https://www.met.ie/.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Helene was located near latitude 43.8 North, longitude 25.7 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 29 mph
(46 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue with an increase
in forward speed during the next 24 hours. On the forecast track,
the post-tropical cyclone will approach Ireland and the United
Kingdom on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible today. Some weakening is
expected by Monday, and the system is forecast to be absorbed
by another low pressure area by early Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Information on rainfall and wind forecasts for Ireland can be
found in products issued by Met Eireann at www.met.ie and for the
United Kingdom in products issued by the United Kingdom Met Office
at www.metoffice.gov/uk.

SURF: Swells generated by Helene are affecting portions of the
Azores. These swells are likely to continue for another day or so
and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

 

 

 

 



 

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