Bailey and Potter, CPA

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I use abbreviations for many things:
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an email every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or emails from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your email address to: Mail List

 

How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank yous" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Hurricanes 2016

2016 Season Tracking Page


Last updated: Friday, November 25, 2016 5:18 PM

Tropical Storm Otto moves to the Pacific

Not all data/maps are included below - It depends on storm location, strength, etc...


...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM OTTO...

...OTTO REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY...

...OTTO STRENGTHENING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR SAN ANDRES...

...OTTO STATIONARY AND EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...
...FLOODING RAINFALL LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...

...AIR FORCE RESERVE AIRCRAFT FINDS OTTO NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH...

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR COSTA RICA AND SOUTHERN NICARAGUA..

...OTTO EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY...

...OTTO BECOMES THE SEVENTH HURRICANE OF THE 2016 SEASON...

...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTS OF
NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA..

...OTTO SLOWLY HEADING TOWARD COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA...

...AIR FORCE PLANE FINDS OTTO A LITTLE WEAKER...

...OTTO EXPECTED TO RESTRENGTHEN OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA...

...OTTO HEADED FOR CENTRAL AMERICA WITH TORRENTIAL RAINS...

...OTTO GETS A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TOWARD NICARAGUA
AND COSTA RICA...

...OTTO BRINGING FLOODING RAINS TO COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA AS IT
CONTINUES WESTWARD...

...OTTO EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL TODAY...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN SOON IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA..

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS OTTO STRONGER...

...OTTO HEADING FOR NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA WITH 105-MPH WINDS...

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE OTTO APPROACHING NICARAGUA AND COSTA
RICA...
...ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED...

...EYE OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE OTTO MADE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHERN
NICARAGUAN COAST NEAR THE TOWN OF SAN JUAN DE NICARAGUA...

...HURRICANE OTTO MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHERN NICARAGUA...
...TORRENTIAL RAINS CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA...

...OTTO WEAKENING RAPIDLY OVER SOUTHERN NICARAGUA...

...OTTO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER NORTHWESTERN COSTA RICA...
...THE CENTER SHOULD EMERGE INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC IN THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...

...CENTER OF OTTO NOW OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...
...DANGEROUS FLOODING RAINS CONTINUING OVER PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA
AND NICARAGUA...

None


BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OTTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016
1200 AM CST FRI NOV 25 2016

...CENTER OF OTTO NOW OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...
...DANGEROUS FLOODING RAINS CONTINUING OVER PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA
AND NICARAGUA...

SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.8N 86.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WNW OF LIBERIA COSTA RICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puntarenas Costa Rica to Puerto Sandino Nicaragua

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1200 AM CST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Otto was
located over the eastern North Pacific Ocean near latitude 10.8
North, longitude 86.2 West. Otto is moving toward the west near
13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the west-southwest and a faster
forward speed are expected overnight. On the forecast track, the
center of Otto will move away from the coast of Central America
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Total rainfall of 6 to 12 inches, with isolated amounts
of 15 to 20 inches, can be expected across northern Costa Rica and
southern Nicaragua through this morning. These rains will likely
result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Recent
reports from amateur radio operators indicate that mudslides are
occurring over portions of northern Costa Rica.

Outer rain bands from Otto are expected to produce rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with total rainfall amounts of up to
10 inches over the higher terrain of southern Costa Rica through
today.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue in the warning area
along the Pacific coasts of Costa Rica and Nicaragua for the next
few hours.

SURF: Swells generated by Otto are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions over the next several days along the
coasts of Panama, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua. Please consult
products from your local weather office. High surf is likely
to occur during the next few hours over portions of Lago Nicaragua.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next complete advisory at 300 AM CST will be issued as an
eastern North Pacific Public Advisory

 

 

 

 



 

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