Bailey and Potter, CPA

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Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an email every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or emails from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your email address to: Mail List

 

How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank yous" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Hurricanes 2016

2016 Season Tracking Page


Last updated: Monday, September 19, 2016 6:04 PM

Tropical Depression Julia

Not all data/maps are included below - It depends on storm location, strength, etc...

...TROPICAL STORM JULIA FORMS ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...
...SLOW-MOVING STORM EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...

...RAINS FROM JULIA CONTINUE TO SPREAD ONSHORE ALONG THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS...

...RAINBANDS SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE GEORGIA COASTLINE...

...JULIA LIKELY TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION LATER TODAY...

...JULIA MOVING SLOWLY NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST...

...JULIA JUST OFFSHORE NEAR GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER...

...JULIA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHEASTWARD JUST OFF THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES COAST...

...JULIA FORECAST TO MEANDER JUST OFF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES
COAST...

...JULIA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
...EXPECTED TO MEANDER OFF THE COAST OF GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

...CENTER OF JULIA MOVES FARTHER EASTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO MEANDER OFF THE COAST OF GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THAT JULIA IS AGAIN A TROPICAL
STORM...
...EXPECTED TO MEANDER OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA FOR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

...JULIA MILLING AROUND OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES...

...JULIA MEANDERING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST...

...JULIA BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED AS IT MEANDERS OFF OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...

...JULIA IS GOING NOWHERE FOR NOW AND PROBABLY WILL WEAKEN IN
SITU...

...WEAKENING JULIA LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY...

...JULIA HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...

...JULIA STILL GENERATING ENOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY TO BE CONSIDERED
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...

...JULIA'S DEMISE IS DIFFICULT TO FORECAST...

...JULIA TRYING TO MAKE A COMEBACK...

...JULIA NEARLY STATIONARY SOUTHEAST OF THE CAROLINAS...
...EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD LATER TODAY...

...JULIA NOW MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD LATER TONIGHT...

...JULIA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

None

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIA ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016
1100 PM EDT SUN SEP 18 2016

...JULIA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 78.4W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Julia
was located near latitude 32.2 North, longitude 78.4 West. The low
is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward
the north is forecast to occur overnight, and that motion is
expected to continue into Tuesday. The system is expected to be
near the coast of southeastern North Carolina Monday afternoon or
evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The interaction of the remnants of Julia with a weak cold
front pushing slowly eastward across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic
states is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4
inches across eastern portions of the Mid-Atlantic region northward
into eastern New York and southern New England through Tuesday.
Isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches will be possible, especially
over portions of eastern North Carolina northward into parts of
eastern Virginia, eastern Maryland, Delaware, and southern New
Jersey. These amounts could result in localized flooding or flash
flooding.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Julia.

Gone in Five Days

 

 



 

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