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I use abbreviations for many things:
PB = Peterborough
KE = Keene NH
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
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I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an e-mail every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or e-mail from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your e-mail address to: Mail List

What is a "ShortWave"?

Also known as Shortwave Trough; a disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it. If other conditions are favorable, the upward motion can contribute to thunderstorm development ahead of a shortwave.

MCS = Mesoscale Convective System (Bunch of thunderstorms)

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How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank you's" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Breaking Weather Headlines:

Snow into tonight - Light west/central, heavier east - Turning VERY COLD

Winter Weather Advisories & Winter Storm Warnings continue


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See my detailed instrument readings

Quick forecast for Peterborough - Mobile View


 

The next storm impacts the region

See the detailed maps for NH/MA here

Looks COLD this weekend

Nice

Watching for early next week - Stay tuned


The Storm Track is active as we move into February

Current Radar

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History

Today's Interesting Fact, Place, or Phenomena

World Weather Hot Spot


See the Local Weather Discussion below...

 

Welcome to Winter in New England


The Spring (Vernal) Equinox occurs at 6:45 PM EDT on March 20, 2015

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion
Regional Weather Discussion

Your Daily Forecast 3 Days at a Time

Updates by 7AM and 7PM Weekdays-Later on Weekends
Forecasts are for Southern NH (Nashua) with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)

Last Updated: Friday, January 30, 2015 7:00 AM

If the Advisory logo above is flashing, go to the Advisories link in the navigation menu,
which can be found on left side of the page. Or click on the links below.

ALL - Winter Storm Warnings - Warnings Page - 6AM - 1/30
Winter Weather Advisory - Southern NH - 6AM - 1/30
Winter Weather Advisory - North Central MA- 6AM - 1/30
Winter Weather Advisory - Southern MA - -6AM - 1/30

See the Snowfall Estimate Maps for Thursday night/Friday - 6AM - 1/30

Click on any advisory links above for details

Hazardous Weather Outlook

None

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Monday

 



 

Monday Night

 

 

 

 

Tuesday

 

 

 

Tuesday Night

 

 

 

 

Wednesday

 


 

Wednesday Night

 

 

 

 

Thursday

 

 

 

 

Thursday Night

 

 

 

 

Friday

Snow. High near 32. South wind around 5 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

 

 

 

PB/KE: Snow. High near 31. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

 


 

Friday Night

Snow likely, mainly before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 10. Wind chill values as low as -5. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

 

 

 

PB/KE: A 50 percent chance of snow before 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 5. Wind chill values as low as -14. Northwest wind around 15 mph.

 

 

Saturday

Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 20. Wind chill values as low as -7. Blustery, with a northwest wind 15 to 20 mph.

PB/KE: Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 14. Wind chill values as low as -14. Blustery, with a northwest wind 15 to 20 mph.

 

 

Saturday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 8. Wind chill values as low as -5. West wind 10 to 15 mph.

PB/KE: Mostly clear, with a low around 5. Wind chill values as low as -7. West wind 10 to 15 mph.

 

Sunday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 24. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

PB/KE: Mostly sunny, with a high near 20. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.


 

Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 2.

PB/KE: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -1.

 


Your weekend forecast is always posted on the Thursday morning before the weekend
To see an extended forecast for your zone, look at the Extended Forecast page.  

Links of Interest

New England begins digging out from blizzard that caused power outages, flooding - Fox News
See the February 2015 Almanac - RichLefko.com Link
See the current monthly Rainfall & Snowfall data - RichLefko.com
Massive Asteroid 2004 BL86 to Pass Within 745,000 Miles of Earth - ABC NEWS
Hidden Miracles of the natural World - YouTube
See the Weather Statistics for December 2014 - RichLefko.com
Jet stream blasts BA plane across Atlantic in record time - Daily Mail


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Rich's Local Weather Discussion:

1/30 - 6:57 AM: Light snow was falling in PB this morning. Not nearly as cold as it was last night. A low pressure area over Quebec moves east, dragging a front across our region, then spawns a secondary low off the coast. This system will track north into the Gulf of Maine. Those areas closest to the coast, north of the Cape, are under a Winter storm warning for upwards of 8" of snow, more in Maine. However, for the rest of us, Winter Weather Advisories rule for 3" to 5". Snow totals were lowered a bit this morning and that is reflected on the Snowfall Maps on the Winter Storm page. Otherwise, light snow today into tonight. Heavier coastal snows continue into Saturday morning. Temps will start to drop today and we'll turn very cold tonight with wind chill readings below zero. I expect a Wind Chill Advisory will be issued later today for our areas. There is one in place in western MA. Still watching for that early week storm. May miss us. Stay tuned.

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
INITIALLY WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK EASTWARD FROM THE GREAT
LAKES AND REACH THE NEW ENGLAND COAST TODAY. THIS LOW WILL THEN
INTENSIFY RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.
HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWS OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM
TRACKING SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW
MIDWEEK. LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS BY TO OUR SOUTH ON THURSDAY.

SYNOPSIS...MA
LOW PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC AS A SECONDARY LOW
DEVELOPS ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
LOW WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE GULF OF MAINE BY TONIGHT BRINGING
PERIODS OF SNOW. BLUSTERY AND VERY COLD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY...POSSIBLY BRINGING ANOTHER ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL. COLD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF NEXT
WEEK. YET ANOTHER LOW MAY DEVELOP AROUND NEXT WED OR THU WITH
A THREAT FOR SNOW...THOUGH LOW CONFIDENCE.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HEADLINES...

* COLD CONDITIONS THROUGH SUNDAY AS WINDS DIMINISH
* LOW PRESSURE LOOKS TO PASS S OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW POSSIBLE
* COLD CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK
* ANOTHER LOW IS POSSIBLE AROUND WED OR THU...LOW CONFIDENCE

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1/29 - 6:41 PM: Increasing clouds tonight as a low pressure area over the Great Lakes moves east, then spawns a secondary low off the coast. This system will track north into the Gulf of Maine. Those areas closest to the coast, north of the Cape, are under a Winter storm warning for upwards of 8" of snow, more in Maine. However, for the rest of us, Winter Weather Advisories rule for 3" to 5" or 6". Looks like this comes as less than an inch in the morning with a lull, or light snow, with another 1" to 3" during the afternoon, perhaps a little more Friday night. Tough storm to call since it strengthens AFTER moving across the region. Heavy snow bands could back in and Winter Storm Warnings might be extended inland. Stay tuned. I am working on the Thursday night Weekend Outlook E-mail blast. That will be out shortly to the E-mail list. Join us by clicking the link below.

SYNOPSIS... NH/ME
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF MODERATE
TO HEAVY SNOWFALL TO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWS OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM
MOVING SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW
MIDWEEK. LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS BY TO OUR SOUTH ON THURSDAY.

SYNOPSIS...MA
A CLIPPER LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT
WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST AND INTENSIFYING OVER THE GULF OF MAINE FRI INTO FRI
EVENING. THIS WILL BRING A PERIOD OF SNOW LATER TONIGHT AND
FRI...WHICH WILL CONTINUE INTO FRI NIGHT FOR PARTS OF THE REGION.
BLUSTERY AND VERY COLD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND. WATCHING
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF NOREASTERS NEXT WEEK...ONE POSSIBLE SUN NIGHT-
MONDAY AND ANOTHER POSSIBLE WED NIGHT-THU. LOW CONFIDENCE ON BOTH.

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1/29 - 6:55 AM: A very cold start this morning with most locations below zero. Temps will rise into the upper 20s and low 3os today under sunny skies. High pressure moves offshore later today and that will allow another low pressure system to track across the region Friday. Initially, this is a weak system but as it reaches the coast it will juice up. Winter Storm Watches are up for the mid coast of Maine. Here in NH and in MA, a Winter Weather Advisory is up for 3" to 5" with some 6" amounts possible through Friday. The snow will be light and will end later Friday afternoon from west to east. Not as cold Friday with highs in the low 30s, but temps will tumble after the low passes as Arctic air is pulled back into the region. By Friday night we'll have wind chill readings below zero once again. Another storm for early next week is possible. I will be detailing the weekend and the next storm in tonight's E-Mail blast. Sign up below.

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST AND CREST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOWFALL TO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWS OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH
ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVING SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL FOLLOW MIDWEEK.

SYNOPSIS...MA
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL MOVE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. A CLIPPER LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COAST AND MOVING INTO THE GULF OF MAINE FRI INTO FRI
EVENING. THIS WILL BRING A PERIOD OF SNOW LATER TONIGHT AND
FRI...WHICH WILL CONTINUE INTO FRI NIGHT FOR PARTS OF THE REGION.
BLUSTERY AND VERY COLD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.
ANOTHER STORM MAY BRING SNOW TO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY.

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Regional Weather Discussion ...

An active weather pattern continues and that means more systems to track in the coming days.

The light snow we had overnight totaled up to a dusting to 2"...that will make some roads slick this morning with temps starting the day in the 20s. The rest of the day will feature more of the same...periods of light snow with temps slowly climbing to near freezing in southern areas and mid 20s far north by early afternoon. As this next system moves to our east, it will redevelop tonight. This will cause a band of snow to expand over Maine. The western edge of this snow shield may back in across the eastern parts of NH tonight, resulting in more snow. At this point a total (from last night through tonight) of 2-4 inches looks likely in many spots except 4-6" in far eastern parts of NH.

In any event, it should clear out early Saturday with a dry and cold weekend to follow!

Another storm will develop to our south on Sunday & Sunday Night. Most of our computer guidance drives most of the snow from this system to our south. So at this point, it looks like a bit of light snow possible for southern NH on Monday and dry conditions to the north. BUT, being several days out, the track could easily change, resulting in a big impact across NH. Stay tuned!

These "discussions" come from the National Weather Service, WMUR TV Manchester NH, or me.

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