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The Weather Statistics for February 2015 have been posted.

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Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
PB = Peterborough
KE = Keene NH
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on. On weekends by 9AM.
Make sure your browser is set to allow "pop-ups" from this site. I use them extensively and there is no danger of any viruses or anything like that.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an e-mail every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or e-mail from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your e-mail address to: Mail List

What is a "ShortWave"?

Also known as Shortwave Trough; a disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it. If other conditions are favorable, the upward motion can contribute to thunderstorm development ahead of a shortwave.

MCS = Mesoscale Convective System (Bunch of thunderstorms)

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How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank you's" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Breaking Weather Headlines:

Clear and Colder tonight - Increasing clouds Tuesday/Snow later

Winter Weather Advisories are present



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See my detailed instrument readings

Quick forecast for Peterborough - Mobile View


 

The Next System Arrives by Late Afternoon

Snowfall Est. Tuesday Night - Check here for local amounts

Mixed Precipitation expected in some locations - Advisory

Turning colder again by Wednesday night/Thursday AM

Colder Air Returns


Drier and colder

Current Radar

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History

Today's Interesting Fact, Place, or Phenomena

World Weather Hot Spot


See the Local Weather Discussion below...

 

Welcome to Winter in New England


The Spring (Vernal) Equinox occurs at 6:45 PM EDT on March 20, 2015

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion
Regional Weather Discussion

Your Daily Forecast 3 Days at a Time

Updates by 7AM and 7PM Weekdays-By 9AM on Weekends
Forecasts are for Southern NH (Nashua) with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)

Last Updated: Monday, March 2, 2015 6:29 PM

If the Advisory logo above is flashing, go to the Advisories link in the navigation menu,
which can be found on left side of the page. Or click on the links below.

Winter Weather Advisory - MA - 5PM - 3/02
Winter Weather Advisory - NY & CT - 5PM - 3/02

Snowfall Estimate Maps were updated at 5PM - 3/02



Click on any advisory links above for details

Hazardous Weather Outlook

TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST
LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AND
END LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. IT MAY END AS
A PERIOD OF DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHERN MAINE.

 

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Monday

 

 


 

Monday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 11. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

PB/KE: Patchy blowing snow between 9pm and 10pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 8. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.

 

Tuesday

A 30 percent chance of snow after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 29. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming south in the afternoon.

 

 

 

PB: A 30 percent chance of snow after 4pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 27. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

 

 

 

KE: A 40 percent chance of snow after 3pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 30. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.

 

 

Tuesday Night

Snow and sleet, becoming all sleet after 3am. Low around 27. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

 

 

 

PB/KE: Snow before 3am, then snow and sleet likely. Low around 24. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

 

 

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. West wind around 10 mph.

 

 

 

PB: A chance of sleet before 7am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. West wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.



 

KE: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. West wind around 10 mph.

 


 

Wednesday Night

A 40 percent chance of snow after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. West wind around 5 mph.

 

 

 

PB/KE: A 40 percent chance of snow after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. West wind around 10 mph.

 

 

Thursday

A 30 percent chance of snow before 9am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 27.

PB/KE: A 30 percent chance of snow before 9am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 23.

 

 

Thursday Night

 

 

 

Friday

 


 

Friday Night

 

 

 

Saturday

 

 

 

 

Saturday Night

 

 

 

Sunday

 


 

Sunday Night

 

 

 


Your weekend forecast is always posted on the Thursday morning before the weekend
To see an extended forecast for your zone, look at the Extended Forecast page.  

Links of Interest

See the Weather Statistics for February 2015 - RichLefko.com
With White-Knuckle Grip, February’s Cold Clings to New York - New York Times
See the March 2015 Almanac - RichLefko.com Link
See the current monthly Rainfall & Snowfall data - RichLefko.com
120-year-old record low broken in D.C., one of many today and in the past week - The Washington Post

Great Lakes “likely to have the most ice since records began,” says meteorologist - Iceagenow
COOL PHOTO: Front of Jeep frozen in time at Vidant - WITN
Snowmageddon: 17 amazing photos of record-breaking US snow - Daily Mail
The fiddling with temperature data is the biggest science scandal ever - Telegraph
Now-- see seasonal snow totals on the Gauges Page - Go take a look


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Rich's Local Weather Discussion:

3/02 - 6:22 PM: Windy tonight with those winds dying down by morning. There is some blowing snow noted in some areas. Temps will drop into the single numbers across Southern NH tonight under clear skies. A sunny start to Tuesday but clouds move in as high pressure moves offshore. Overrunning moisture from milder air moving up from the south will produce snowfall here from late afternoon/evening to after midnight in NH. See advisories and snowfall estimates here. No advisory for NH once again? Arrival of the snowfall may affect the evening commute. Later elsewhere. 3" to as much as 6" is possible before the warmer air works in and sleet mixes in. There may even be some drizzle at the end as temps rise into the 40s. The first time in over a month and a half here in NH. Some thermal issues south in MA where there is some concern on the change-over and ice and snow potential. There may be more snow than anticipated for the thermal profiles remain cold, meanwhile, more moisture may produce more ice. By Wednesday night a cold front begins to cross the region. There may be a period of freezing rain/snow as the system heads offshore. All liquid freezes as temps drop into the low 20s and only rise into the upper 20s on Thursday. Dry conditions are expected from Thursday afternoon into the weekend.

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND SHIFTS OFFSHORE
BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN
CANADA TUESDAY NIGHT TRYING TO PUSH A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE
REGION. AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON
FRIDAY.

SYNOPSIS...MA
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION TONIGHT BRINGING A
CRISP...COOL...DRY NIGHT. BY TOMORROW MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFFSHORE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SYSTEM. A
STORM SYSTEM ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT
WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR WINTRY WEATHER LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
THIS SYSTEM WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY RESULTING IN RENEWED WINTER WEATHER OUTCOMES. THURSDAY
NIGHT ONWARD...CONTINUED COLDER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WITH
ADDITIONAL WEATHER DISTURBANCES.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

HIGHLIGHTS...

- PRECIP TRANSITION FROM SNOW TO RAIN WITH A WINTRY MIX BETWEEN
- WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT
- IMPACTS ESPECIALLY TO THE TUESDAY AFTERNOON / EVENING COMMUTE

WEDNESDAY INTO LATE THURSDAY...

HIGHLIGHTS...

- RENEWED OVER-RUNNING EVENT ALONG AN OFFSHORE COLD FRONT
- PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW...PERHAPS HEAVY?
- GREATEST IMPACT S OF THE MASS-PIKE...ESPECIALLY S-COAST

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3/02 - 7:14 AM: The snow has ended but roads are slippery this morning. As the sun comes out, temps will rise above freezing today. We'll turn much colder tonight with lows in the single numbers to around 10°. Mostly sunny to start on Tuesday with highs in the mid and upper 20s. Snow arrives in western areas late in the day and then overspreads the region Tuesday night. More on this system in this evenings update. Stay tuned.

SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
BREEZY BUT RELATIVELY MILD WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MARITIME PROVINCES. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND SHIFTS OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA
TUESDAY NIGHT PUSHING A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION...AND
PRODUCING A PERIOD OF SNOW AND MIXED RAIN OR SNOW ALONG THE COAST.
AS THE LOW SHIFTS TO OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE
WEST THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY.

SYNOPSIS...MA
DRY AND BLUSTERY WEATHER FOLLOWS BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
EARLY THIS MORNING. LOW PRESSURE FROM NORTHERN CANADA AND
ASSOCIATED LOW FORMING OVER THE PLAINS MONDAY WILL MERGE...THEN
PASS WEST AND NORTH OF NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL BRING ABOUT A WINTRY
MIX...CHANGING TO RAIN LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. DRY AND COLD
WEATHER RETURNS FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

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3/01 - 5:57 PM: Light snow was falling here in PB at those hour. We'll continue to see bouts of light snow across Southern NH tonight with 1" to 3" by daybreak. Areas closer to the MA State line may see 4" totals. As you go south into MA Winter weather advisories are up across central MA with Winter Storm Warnings in SE MA and coastal areas of RI. Up to 8" may fall in this area. Snowfall is expected to end by the morning commute, but roadways will probably be slippery to start. By late morning the sun is out and temps will rise into the low to mid 30s. Colder Monday night with lows back in the single numbers to around 10°. Tuesday starts off sunny but the next system will be arriving with a messy mix south and snow north by late in the afternoon. Details on this system will follow over the next day or so. Temps are trending milder by next weekend. Stay tuned.
See the Weather Statistics for February 2015 - RichLefko.com
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SYNOPSIS...NH/ME
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST AND CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT...PRODUCING
SOME LIGHT SNOW. A STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW WILL SET UP IN ITS WAKE
ON MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY NIGHT
AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE MOVING
OFFSHORE. LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TUESDAY
NIGHT PUSHING A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION...AND PRODUCING
A PERIOD OF SNOW AND MIXED RAIN OR SNOW ALONG THE COAST. AS THE
LOW SHIFTS TO OUR NORTH...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
REGION LATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST
THURSDAY AND WILL CREST OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY.

SYNOPSIS...MA
A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED SOUTH
OF THE MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE. HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS DRY COLD AIR
FOR THE EARLY WEEK. LOW PRESSURE FROM NORTHERN CANADA AND
ASSOCIATED LOW FORMING OVER THE PLAINS MONDAY WILL MERGE...THEN
PASS WEST AND NORTH OF NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL SWING A COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. DRY AND COLD WEATHER RETURNS FOR
THE END OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH ON SATURDAY.

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Regional Weather Discussion ...

The accumulating snow is over for most of us after 1-3+" last night. There is one other system to track this week with up and down temps through midweek.

Changeable skies today...clouds to some sunshine for southern and eastern parts of NH while there will be quite a few more clouds in western areas and scattered snow showers in the northern half of the state. Highs will be in the upper 20s to mid 30s, but a building WNW wind will make it feel colder than that later today.

After some sunshine to start tomorrow, there is another system we'll be tracking for tomorrow night. That one likely brings milder air with it, so it appears there could be snow initially Tuesday evening going over to a messy mix and rain before ending Wednesday morning (temps could jump into the 40s in the afternoon!)

These "discussions" come from the National Weather Service, WMUR TV Manchester NH, or me.

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