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I use abbreviations for many things:
PB = Peterborough
KE = Keene NH
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on. On weekends by 9AM.
Make sure your browser is set to allow "pop-ups" from this site. I use them extensively and there is no danger of any viruses or anything like that.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an e-mail every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or e-mail from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your e-mail address to: Mail List

What is a "ShortWave"?

Also known as Shortwave Trough; a disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it. If other conditions are favorable, the upward motion can contribute to thunderstorm development ahead of a shortwave.

MCS = Mesoscale Convective System (Bunch of thunderstorms)

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How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank you's" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Breaking Weather Headlines:

Clear and cold tonight - Patchy Frost possible NW


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See my detailed instrument readings


 

Warmer, windy

Still too early for a real frost

Showers and then cooler once again

Takes longer to warm up this time of year

Fall is coming

Current Radar

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History

Today's Interesting Fact, Place, or Phenomena

World Weather Hot Spot


See the Local Weather Discussion below...

 


Welcome to Summer in New England


Fall begins at 10:29 PM EDT on September 22, 2014

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion
Regional Weather Discussion

Your Daily Forecast 3 Days at a Time

Updates by 7AM and 7PM Weekdays-Later on Weekends
Forecasts are for Nashua NH with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)

Last Updated: Friday, September 19, 2014 6:07 PM

If the Advisory logo is flashing, go to the Advisories link in the navigation menu,
which can be found on left side of the page.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

FROST ADVISORY.

FROST ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWESTERN MASSACHUSETTS. PATCHY FROST IS POSSIBLE.


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Monday

 



Monday Night

 

 


Tuesday

 


 

Tuesday Night

 

 

 

Wednesday

 

 


Wednesday Night

 

 

 

Thursday

 

 

 

Thursday Night

 

 

Friday

 

 


 

Friday Night

Clear, with a low around 38. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.

PB/KE: Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 36. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

 

Saturday

Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Light south wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.

PB/KE: Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 69. South wind 5 to 13 mph.


Saturday Night

A slight chance of showers after 1am. Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. South wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

PB/KE: A slight chance of showers after 1am. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

 

Sunday

A slight chance of showers. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. South wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

 

 

 

PB/KE: A chance of showers, mainly after 3pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 75. South wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.


 

Sunday Night

A chance of showers, mainly before 5am. Patchy fog between 11pm and 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Light southwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

PB/KE: A chance of showers, mainly before 5am. Patchy fog between 11pm and 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.



Your weekend forecast is always posted on the Thursday morning before the weekend
To see an extended forecast for your zone, look at the Extended Forecast page.  

Links of Interest

Record cold grips northern New England, snow guns fire up at ski resorts - The Washington Post
Record Low Temperatures Set Friday - Link
Fireball Was Russian Spy Satellite, Experts Say - Sky News
Extent of Antarctic sea ice reaches record levels, scientists say - ABC News
Global Warming ‘Pause’ Extends to 17 Years 11 Months - Climate Depot
September Snow in Seven States over Seven Days - Link
See the Weather Statistics for July and August 2014 - RichLefko.com
See the September 2014 Almanac - RichLefko.com Link
See the current monthly Rainfall & Snowfall data - RichLefko.com

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion: Live Radar is NOT ACTIVE - See the new radar box above
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9/19 - 6:06 PM: After a cold day expect clear skies tonight and cold temps once again. As cold high pressure crests over the region tonight and then heads offshore, the shift in winds SHOULD bring dew point temps up and prevent a frost from occurring. If the timing doesn't happen, then a sudden frost advisory may pop up later, or not. As cold high pressure heads offshore our winds will shift to the south. Expect a milder day on Saturday with highs in the low 70s. Tonight I see a low pressure center forming to our south and moving north. This may bring a few showers to the region Sunday and especially Sunday night as a cold front moving in from the west joins the party. Highs on Sunday in the mid and upper 70s.
SYNOPSIS...
CLEAR SKIES AND CHILLY TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE TONIGHT
ACROSS THE REGION AS HIGH PRESSURES CRESTS ACROSS THE REGION. AS
THE HIGH MOVES OFFSHORE...MILDER TEMPERATURES WILL BRIEFLY RETURN
FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT CROSSES NEW ENGLAND
SUNDAY NIGHT...WHILE A LOW PRESSURE CENTER RAPIDLY PASSES
SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET ON ITS WAY TO NOVA SCOTIA. AFTER THIS COLD
FRONT PASSES OFFSHORE MONDAY MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES
THROUGH ALL OF NEXT WEEK.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

* CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WITH COLD FRONT PASSAGE
* DRY CONDITIONS LIKELY NEXT WEEK

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9/19 - 6:49 AM: We dipped to 33.8° here in PB this morning, but I expect temps to begin to rise shortly. Frost advisory ends at 8AM. (See above) We'll remain cool today with highs only in the upper 50s and low 60s as you go south under sunny skies. Unusually cold for this time of year (It is still summer!) but this pattern seems to fit in with the very cold winter and cool summer we've experienced. Another round of patchy frost is possible tonight. This cold high pressure area will head offshore and the return flow of air will be milder, BUT, the question is "Does that happen fast enough" to keep temps from dropping to far? We'll look at this during the evening update. On Saturday and Sunday we'll finally warm up once again, but that will be short-lived as colder air returns by Monday.
SYNOPSIS...
COOL TEMPERATURES PREVAIL TODAY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME
EARLY MORNING FROST SATURDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT CROSSES NEW
ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT NIGHT WHILE A LOW PRESSURE CENTER RAPIDLY
PASSES SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET ON ITS WAY TO NOVA SCOTIA. AFTER THE
COLD FRONT PASSES OFFSHORE MONDAY MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATES THE REGION THROUGH ALL OF NEXT WEEK.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...

* CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT WITH COLD FRONT PASSAGE
* THEN PROBABLY DRY ALL NEXT WEEK

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9/18 - 6:38 PM: Cold front will cross the region this evening and head out to sea. Once the clouds clear after midnight, temps will drop into the mid and upper 30s. Frost Advisory issued (See above) but I don't expect any frost here in PB. The real frost will occur in northern Hillsboro and Cheshire counties in NH and Vermont. Otherwise , just unusually cold for this time of year. Friday will feel "October-Like" with highs only in the upper 50s and low 60s. Temps will bounce back for the weekend. I will be crafting the Weekend Outlook E-mail this evening. Sign up below--ALL OF THE LINKS WORK NOW!!
SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK...DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. COLD
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SOME
FROST MAY FORM ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE LATE
TONIGHT. THE HIGH WILL DRIFT OFFSHORE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
RESULTING IN A BRIEF RETURN TO MILDER TEMPERATURES. A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY COOLER WEATHER TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

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NEW OWC Specials begin - 9/17/14

Regional Weather Discussion ...

It looks like a typical autumn pattern is coming a touch early this year, just a quick passing rain chance or two and lots of changes on the thermometer.

It is a chilly start to the day...a first frost for some, a hard freeze for others and within a few degrees of record lows in Concord and Portsmouth. After the really cold start, today will feature lots of sunshine but it will be much cooler than normal. Highs will be in the 50s...near 60° with light winds this afternoon.

A warm up takes over just in time for the weekend. Skies should average out mostly sunny in southern NH and partly sunny up north on Saturday (highs mostly in the 60s.) The next front with scattered showers will approach later Sunday, but most of the day looks to feature partly sunny skies and warm conditions (highs mainly in the 70s.) Showers are possible very late day into the evening.

It will cool down again early next week along with mostly dry conditions.

Have a great weekend!

These "discussions" come from the National Weather Service, WMUR TV Manchester NH, or me.

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