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The Weather Statistics for October 2014 have been posted.

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Stuff to make using the site easier ..

I use abbreviations for many things:
PB = Peterborough
KE = Keene NH
Precip = Precipitation
SWS = Special Weather Statements
I will continue to add more to this list as I think of them.
I update the forecasts by 7AM and 7PM each day...more frequently if some weather thing is going on. On weekends by 9AM.
Make sure your browser is set to allow "pop-ups" from this site. I use them extensively and there is no danger of any viruses or anything like that.

I am based in Peterborough, NH, but the main forecasts (for now) are for Nashua, NH and the region. I send out an e-mail every Thursday that covers the upcoming weekend forecast. I also send out advisories when issued by the NWS to this list. You will NEVER get SPAM or e-mail from anyone else. I don't share my mail list with anyone. If you'd like to be a part of that mailing, send your e-mail address to: Mail List

What is a "ShortWave"?

Also known as Shortwave Trough; a disturbance in the mid or upper part of the atmosphere which induces upward motion ahead of it. If other conditions are favorable, the upward motion can contribute to thunderstorm development ahead of a shortwave.

MCS = Mesoscale Convective System (Bunch of thunderstorms)

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How I started...

I've been a weather hobbyist all of my life. As a child, I used to stand outside in the rain during thunderstorms just to watch the lightning. Back in the '70s getting weather information was a chore. I remember listening to NWS broadcasts during hurricane season and plotting these on a piece of paper. After moving to New England I finally bought my first real weather station made by Davis Instruments. I began to record daily weather data in a journal. I had a few people, where I work, who knew I was a weather nut, ask me to send them an e-mail on the weekend forecast. So two grew to five then 15, then 40, and now my Thursday weekend mail list reaches over 200+ people. I took some web programming classes in the late '90s and a few years after that RichLefko.com was born. I wanted to share my hobby with anyone who was interested, and I am quite overwhelmed with how many people seem to be interested. I've gotten so many "thank you's" for a variety of reasons..."saved my party", "saved my wedding", "saved my life." It's been fun and rewarding all at the same time.
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Breaking Weather Headlines:

Rain into midday - Wind Advisory SE MA - Winter Storm Watch Posted

***BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN THIS MORNING ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND***

Buffalo!!


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See my detailed instrument readings

Quick forecast for Peterborough - Mobile View


 

Heavy rain heads out during the day

We might set some records

Travel Delays Expected

Uh-Oh! Stay tuned

See the Winter Storm page for detailed Snowfall Estimates

Snow for us? Stay tuned.

Current Radar

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History

Today's Interesting Fact, Place, or Phenomena

World Weather Hot Spot


See the Local Weather Discussion below...

 


Welcome to Fall in New England


The Winter Solstice occurs at 6:03 PM EST on December 21, 2014

Laugh for Today
You might be a Red neck if...
"You cleaned up after a party with a leaf blower."

— Comedian Jeff Foxworthy

Rich's Local Weather Discussion
Regional Weather Discussion

Your Daily Forecast 3 Days at a Time

Updates by 7AM and 7PM Weekdays-Later on Weekends
Forecasts are for Nashua NH with other locations noted.
(PB = Peterborough, NH) - (KE = Keene, NH)

Last Updated: Monday, November 24, 2014 6:59 AM

If the Advisory logo is flashing, go to the Advisories link in the navigation menu,
which can be found on left side of the page.

Advisories

Wind Advisory - 4AM - 11/24

Winter Storm Watch - 6AM - 11/24

Click on the links above to read the advisories

Hazardous Weather Outlook

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Monday

Showers, mainly before 10am. High near 66. South wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

PB/KE: Showers, mainly before 10am. High near 60. South wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.


 

Monday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

PB/KE: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

 

Tuesday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. West wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

PB/KE: Mostly sunny, with a high near 52. West wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.


 

Tuesday Night

A slight chance of rain and snow after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. West wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

 

 

 

 

PB/KE: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. West wind 6 to 8 mph.

 

 

Wednesday

A chance of rain and snow before 11am, then a chance of rain between 11am and noon, then snow likely after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

 

 

 

PB: Snow likely, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%..

KE: Snow likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 70%.


 

Wednesday Night

Snow, mainly before 2am. Low around 29. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

 

 

 

PB/KE: Snow likely, mainly before 2am. The snow could be heavy at times. Cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

 

 

Thursday

 

 

 

Thursday Night

 

 

 

Friday

 


 

Friday Night

 

 

 

Saturday

 

 

 

Saturday Night

 

 

 

Sunday

 


 

Sunday Night

 

 

 


Your weekend forecast is always posted on the Thursday morning before the weekend
To see an extended forecast for your zone, look at the Extended Forecast page.  

Links of Interest

Uncut: Drone flies over neighborhood with 5 feet of snow - WMUR
Buffalo Area Reeling from Snowstorm - Spencer
Ice Visible on Lake Superior Weeks Ahead of Schedule - ABC News
See the Weather Statistics for October 2014 - RichLefko.com
See the current monthly Rainfall & Snowfall data - RichLefko.com
Coldest November Weather in Decades Infiltrates Wyoming to Texas From the North Pole - Accuweather
Central U.S. takes the plunge with brutal cold, snow - USA Today
See the November 2014 Almanac - RichLefko.com Link
See the Winter 2014-2015 Outlook - Climate Page at RichLefko.Com

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Rich's Local Weather Discussion:

11/24 - 6:57 AM: Rain and wind continues this morning across the region. Milder air pouring in from the south. Highs today in the low to mid 60s. Wind Advisory SE MA/RI early today. The rain ends by early afternoon, but the clouds will remain with a couple of showers possible. Mild overnight as winds continue to bring milder air up from the south. Tuesday looks like a delightful day with plenty of sunshine and still mild temps in the mid and upper 50s. Then the fun begins. Coastal Storm system with unknown track heads for the region during Wednesday. Winter Storm Watch is up for just western and Central MA and portion of CT at the moment. Since the track is still uncertain, this is the only area, at the moment, where there is enough confidence to issue the watch. However, if you look at the Estimated Snowfall Map, you can see that a more widespread snow is possible. Stay tuned as I continue to look at the data and nail down what kind of weather we can expect. However, travel impacts for the northeast to the mid Atlantic are highly likely for the Thanksgiving rush Wed/Thursday. Stay tuned.
SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG
WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY
UNSEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS MONDAY AFTERNOON. QUIET AND MILD
TUESDAY WITH SOME GUSTY SW WINDS. STORM SYSTEM ANTICIPATED
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING...YET TRACK AND EFFECTS REMAIN
UNCERTAIN. GRADUALLY TURNING COLDER INTO THE WEEKEND.

From the NWS:
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THANKSGIVING MORNING...AS STATED ABOVE...THIS WILL
BE THE FOCUS OF THE FORECAST AND IS ALSO THE MOST UNCERTAIN. LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE UP THE COAST MOST LIKELY MOVING ANYWHERE FROM
DIRECTLY OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TO JUST OUTSIDE THE 40/70
BENCHMARK. A TRACK OF THIS SORT IS LIKELY TO BRING A PLOWABLE SNOW
TO AT LEAST A PORTION OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. WHILE THERE IS STILL
QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE TRACK...AM CONFIDENT ENOUGH IN
SIX INCHES OF SNOW FALLING ACROSS WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT TO ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THESE AREAS.
ESPECIALLY SINCE THIS IS THE BUSIEST TRAVEL DAY OF THE YEAR AND
LIKELY TO AFFECT MANY.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
* PLOWABLE SNOW STORM LIKELY WEDNESDAY...EXACT TRACK AND LOCATION OF
RAIN/SNOW LINE STILL QUITE UNCERTAIN
* COLDER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TOWARDS THE WEEKEND
* LOW CONFIDENCE IN ANOTHER STORM LATE IN THE WEEKEND

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11/23 - 4:41 PM: Clouds have been on the increase this afternoon. Skies will become overcast tonight as low pressure moves into the Great Lakes and then passes to our west. Milder air pulled up form the south ahead of this warm front and that will push temps into the mid 60s on Monday. A Wind Advisory has been issued for SE MA for Monday. The rain pulls out during the afternoon and ending by evening. We remain mild through Tuesday with highs in the low to mid 50s and a delightful late fall day. After that: Then all eyes turn to travel Wednesday and Thanksgiving Day. Forecast confidence is low but the models continue to trend toward a wet event, heavy rain and snow are possible. Stay tuned. I may send an e-,mail out to those on the list with more details this evening.
SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG
WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST MONDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY
UNSEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS MONDAY AFTERNOON. QUIET AND MILD
TUESDAY WITH SOME GUSTY SW-WINDS. STORM SYSTEM ANTICIPATED WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY MORNING...YET SPECIFIC OUTCOMES REMAIN UNCERTAIN.
GRADUALLY TURNING COLDER INTO THE WEEKEND.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

*/ HIGHLIGHTS...

- DRY AND MILD TUESDAY
- STORM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...TRAVEL IMPACTS
- TURNING COLDER INTO THE WEEKEND

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11/23 - 9:27 AM: This is the first morning we've been above freezing in the last 12 days. Sunny today with highs in the upper 40s and low 50s. Increasing clouds tonight with rain arriving after 2AM. That rain will be heavy at times for the Monday morning commute. The system is progressive so I only expect about a 6 hour window of rain. Showers by Monday afternoon into Monday evening with clearing at night. A fine day is expected on Tuesday with highs in the low 50s. Then things become interesting. Then all eyes turn to travel Wednesday and Thanksgiving Day. Forecast confidence is low but the models continue to trend toward a wet event, heavy rain and snow are possible. Stay tuned. I may send an e-,mail out to those on the list with more details later today..
SYNOPSIS...
DRY AND MILD TODAY. A WARM FRONT WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF
HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ALONG THE COAST LATE TONIGHT AND
MONDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY UNSEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS MONDAY
AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS BUT DRIER WEATHER FOLLOWS FOR TUESDAY. A
COASTAL STORM MAY BRING SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION
WEDNESDAY INTO THANKSGIVING DAY...BUT THERE IS A LOT OF
UNCERTAINTY. COLDER WEATHER FOLLOWS LATE IN THE WEEK.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS...

* MILD BUT WINDY ON TUESDAY
* COASTAL STORM WITH TRAVEL IMPACTS POSSIBLE WED-THU WITH UNCERTAINTY
* COLDER WEATHER BY THE END OF THE WEEK

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OWC HOLIDAY - Sale going on now - 11/22/14

Regional Weather Discussion ...

A little break from the winter chill to wrap up the weekend yesterday...and it continues today before a midweek storm brings it back.

Rain to start our Monday morning (how fitting) and it could pick up for a time through mid morning. As the rain tapers off either side of midday, temps will jump. Highs will be into the 50s (and lower 60s in southeastern NH) with a breeze picking up out of the south.

Tuesday will be a pretty nice day! Sunny with highs in the 40s and 50s around midday, before they start to slip in the afternoon.

We're watching a potential coastal storm that would move in Wednesday (heaviest in the afternoon and evening before ending early Thanksgiving morning.) The track of this storm could waver as we get closer, and that could change the precipitation type and amounts, but right now it looks like the storm would start as a rain/sleet/snow mixture Wednesday afternoon depending on where you are, then change over to all snow Wednesday night. There is the potential for significant snow accumulation by Thursday morning in parts of the state. We will keep you updated on the forecast as the latest computer weather models come in!

Thanksgiving Day itself and beyond (the rest of the holiday weekend) looks quiet and chilly.

These "discussions" come from the National Weather Service, WMUR TV Manchester NH, or me.

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